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 This face-off between Thomas Kail’s big-screen version of Hamilton and Jason Woliner’s Borat sequel might see the latter triumph, given its two leads are also expected to win in their categories. Any of the five powerhouse performances in this lineup would be deserving, but the HFPA has made its enthusiasm for Promising Young Woman known by also nominating it for best drama, best director, and best screenplay. Carey Mulligan’s fiery turn is certainly difficult to overlook. It’d be baffling for this prize to go to anyone other than Chadwick Boseman, the actor who passed away last August and is extraordinary as a fleet-footed trumpeter in Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom. As the only actor in contention who is also likely to be nominated for an Oscar (barring a late surge from Michelle Pfeiffer), Maria Bakalova seems to be a shoo-in for her hilarious work on Borat.

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Predicted winner: Sacha Baron Cohen (Borat Subsequent Moviefilm) A double acting nominee this year for Borat Subsequent Moviefilm and The Trial of the Chicago 7, Sacha Baron Cohen took home his first Golden Globe for 2006’s Borat. He could easily do it again. If she can fend off competition from Golden Globe favorites Glenn Close, Olivia Colman, and Jodie Foster, who have all won three awards each, Amanda Seyfried could have this all sewn up for her role as bubbly starlet Marion Davies in Mank. Judas and the Black Messiah may have been a late entry into the awards race, but Daniel Kaluuya’s electrifying embodiment of Black Panther leader Fred Hampton, who was targeted by the FBI and eventually killed in 1969, should carry him all the way. This year the Golden Globes made history by nominating more women than men for directing for the first time. The most worthy among them? Chloé Zhao for her soulful road movie Nomadland. Already a two-time Golden Globe winner and one of the most respected writers in the industry, Aaron Sorkin could be honored here, especially if he loses out on best director and best drama.Endlessly inventive, ambitious, and delicate, Disney and Pixar’s Soul is the clear front–runner.After the controversy surrounding Minari’s categorization as a foreign film, despite being made in the U.S. (it’s predominantly in Korean, and the Golden Globes require films to be at least 50% in English to compete for best drama or best musical or comedy), this award is surely its to lose.

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